# Chapter 7 Mixed-effects modeling

Many language (acquisition) studies are based on samples of two random factors: a sample of participants (subjects) and a sample of language items (words, sentences, texts). The two random factors are crossed, i.e., each item is presented to each participant — often only once, so that a subject does not respond to the same item repeatedly in multiple conditions. The analysis methods shown above (aov, lm, glm) all fail to acknowledge this particular structure in the random part of the design. They include a single random factor (named Residual) that aggregates all random effects.

A better method is to use mixed-effects modeling, which may be done in R by using the lmer command. Key advantages of this method are (a) it allows multiple random factors, crossed and/or nested, (b) it does not require homogeneity of variance, (c) it is robust against missing data. Hence mixed-effects modeling is quickly gaining in popularity (Quené and Van den Bergh 2004, 2008; Baayen 2008; Hox, Moerbeek, and Van de Schoot 2018).

For mixed-effects modeling, you need to install two add-on packages to R , named lme4 and languageR (Baayen, Davidson, and Bates 2008). For more information on packages, see Chapter 8 below. After activation of these packages, we can simply perform a mixed-effects analysis. First, we read in an example dataset (Quené and Van den Bergh 2008) in long data layout:

x24 <- read.table( file=url("http://www.hugoquene.nl/emlar/x24r2.txt"), header=T )

These fictitious responses were provided by 24 subjects, for 36 items, in 3 conditions, with rotation of items over conditions. This rotation may be inspected for a small subset of the data frame:

with( subset(x24, subj<=3&item<=6), table(subj,item,cond) ) 
## , , cond = 1
##
##     item
## subj 1 2 3 4 5 6
##    1 1 1 1 1 1 1
##    2 0 0 0 0 0 0
##    3 0 0 0 0 0 0
##
## , , cond = 2
##
##     item
## subj 1 2 3 4 5 6
##    1 0 0 0 0 0 0
##    2 1 1 1 1 1 1
##    3 0 0 0 0 0 0
##
## , , cond = 3
##
##     item
## subj 1 2 3 4 5 6
##    1 0 0 0 0 0 0
##    2 0 0 0 0 0 0
##    3 1 1 1 1 1 1

Next, we need to specify that cond is a categorical factor, and not a continuous predictor. In addition, we specify the levels of the factor, we specify its contrasts, and indicate that the second level is the baseline or reference level.

x24$cond <- as.factor(x24$cond)
contrasts(x24\$cond) <- contr.treatment( c(".A",".B",".C"), base=2 )

After these preliminary steps we can estimate an appropriate mixed-effects model in a single command. The estimated model is also stored as an object, and a summary is displayed.

summary( x24.m1 <- lmer(resp ~ 1+cond+(1|subj)+(1|item),
data=x24, REML=FALSE) )
## Linear mixed model fit by maximum likelihood  ['lmerMod']
## Formula: resp ~ 1 + cond + (1 | subj) + (1 | item)
##    Data: x24
##
##      AIC      BIC   logLik deviance df.resid
##   2046.8   2075.4  -1017.4   2034.8      858
##
## Scaled residuals:
##     Min      1Q  Median      3Q     Max
## -3.1641 -0.6394 -0.0077  0.6416  2.7157
##
## Random effects:
##  Groups   Name        Variance Std.Dev.
##  item     (Intercept) 0.2579   0.5078
##  subj     (Intercept) 0.2891   0.5377
##  Residual             0.5103   0.7144
## Number of obs: 864, groups:  item, 36; subj, 24
##
## Fixed effects:
##             Estimate Std. Error t value
## (Intercept)  0.04569    0.14485   0.315
## cond.A       0.17037    0.05953   2.862
## cond.C      -0.23696    0.05953  -3.980
##
## Correlation of Fixed Effects:
##        (Intr) cond.A
## cond.A -0.205
## cond.C -0.205  0.500

The output correctly shows that there are two unrelated random effects, plus unexplained residual variance. Each response is now modeled as a unique combination of the intercept (mean of baseline condition B), item effect, subject effect, condition effect, and residual. The average response in the baseline condition B is $$0.046$$ units. Responses in condition A are 0.170 units higher than baseline, and in condition C they are $$-0.237$$ units higher than baseline, i.e. $$0.237$$ units lower.

For reasons not discussed here,10 the significance levels of the fixed effects are not reported in the output of lmer. There are several solutions to obtain these significance levels.

• The most conservative option (Hox, Moerbeek, and Van de Schoot 2018) is to use the critical $$t$$ value associated with the random effect that has the fewest levels (here subj), corrected for the number of fixed coefficients including the intercept (here $$3$$). If a fixed effect is significant by this very conservative criterion, then it will also be significant by any other criterion that is less conservative and more liberal.
qt( p=1-.05/2, df=24-3 ) # critical value t*, alpha=.05, two-sided
##  2.079614

Comparison of the fixed effects with this critical $$t^*$$ = 2.08 shows that both conditions A and C differ significantly from the baseline condition B.

• A second option is to estimate 95% confidence intervals for all coefficients in the resulting mixed-effects model. This can be time-consuming, as the mixed-effects model will be re-fit many times on slightly varying datasets.
# warnings may occur
print( x24.m1.ci <- confint( x24.m1, method="boot", nsim=250 ))
## Computing bootstrap confidence intervals ...
##
## 6 warning(s): Model failed to converge with max|grad| = 0.00267345 (tol = 0.002, component 1) (and others)
##                   2.5 %     97.5 %
## .sig01       0.35950709  0.6747204
## .sig02       0.36333157  0.6844652
## .sigma       0.68054619  0.7474401
## (Intercept) -0.23533348  0.3634542
## cond.A       0.05695928  0.3035280
## cond.C      -0.36262503 -0.1261797

As the interval for cond.A is entirely positive, we may conclude with 95% confidence that condition A yields higher scores than the baseline condition B, and mutatis mutandis that condition C yields lower scores than condition B.

### References

Baayen, R. H. 2008. Analyzing Linguistic Data: A Practical Introduction to Statistics Using R. Cambridge University Press.

Baayen, R. H., D. J. Davidson, and Douglas M. Bates. 2008. “Mixed-Effects Modeling with Crossed Random Effects for Subjects and Items.” Journal of Memory and Language 59 (4): 390–412.

Hox, Joop J., Mirjam Moerbeek, and Rens Van de Schoot. 2018. Multilevel Analysis: Techniques and Applications. 3rd ed. Routledge.

Quené, Hugo, and Huub Van den Bergh. 2004. “On Multi-Level Modeling of Data from Repeated Measures Designs: A Tutorial.” Speech Communication 43 (1–2): 103–21.

Quené, Hugo, and Huub Van den Bergh. 2008. “Examples of Mixed-Effects Modeling with Crossed Random Effects and with Binomial Data.” Journal of Memory and Language 59 (4): 413–25.